September road freight prices rebounded and heavy truck user revenues began to increase

The national general cargo freight index system is an important component of the China Logistics and Purchasing Federation's logistics basic statistical system. The index system consists of a comprehensive index, a vehicle index, a zero-load heavy goods index and a zero-load light goods index. The general cargo freight index is based on the statistical analysis of first-hand information on transportation prices obtained through regular follow-up interviews with more than 5,000 qualified transport companies in 7 major economic regions, 45 key cities, and 360 road transport routes in the country. Prepared.

In September, the domestic road transport market was coming to an end. In addition to vehicle transport and light load cargo, the recovery of LTL heavy freight transport prices accelerated. According to the information provided by China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing and Huitianxia Information Technology Co., Ltd., the market price of road freight transportation in September 2007 was 0.235 yuan/ton km for whole vehicles, 0.334 yuan/ton km for LTL, and 0.10 for light load trucks. The yuan/cubic kilometers and comprehensive freight index rose rapidly to 75%.

The freight market from May to July is the “off season” and from October to February is the “peak season”.

From the perspective of the transportation market in recent years, the road freight rates from October to February are relatively high. This is the golden period of road transport every year. Whether it is the entire vehicle tariff, LTL heavy cargo, or LTL light cargoes, it is very The high price level, especially affected by the Chinese New Year in February each year, has reached the highest annual price of road freight. From January to July, the freight price reached a “low tide”, basically the “off season” of the freight market, and the user’s income was significantly reduced. Due to the impact of summer, the maintenance costs increased significantly.

In September, the total cargo volume and freight turnover volume increased significantly, which promoted the increase of freight rates.

In September, the total volume of goods shipped and the total volume of goods turnover increased significantly. The total volume of freight increased by 10% year-on-year, an increase of 1.04% from the previous month, and the total volume of freight transport increased by 14.04 million tons from August, and the freight volume growth momentum was relatively Obviously, the total turnover of goods increased by 17.78% year-on-year, an increase of 4.48% year-on-year, and at the same time, the total volume of goods turnover increased even more noticeably.

The recovery of cargo prices in September brought "golden nine silver ten" in the heavy truck market demand.

The price of road freight is also the result of the role of both the supplier (the cargo carrier) and the demand side (the cargo consignor). One of the most obvious influencing factors is the quantity of vehicles, the scarcity of goods, and the amount of vehicles. The freight rate must drop. After the tariff adjustment in June and July, the price rose to a certain level of user satisfaction in September, and the desire of users to buy cars began to ignite. After the preparation of funds, effective demand was realized, heavy truck market orders began to increase, the peak season came, and the heavy truck market showed a strong demand for gold and silver. Ten" situation. The most fundamental reason is only one: the freight rates began to rise, and user demand increased.

The freight rate of 0.19 yuan/ton kilometer is the break-even point of the general cargo road freight rate.

Road transport users can basically be divided into two categories: ordinary users (most of them) and dedicated line users. The characteristics of ordinary users are as follows: The driving route is basically freeway or national road; the national automobile transportation policy is strictly enforced. The characteristics of green transport users: The provincial highway is the mainstay, and the national highway is supplementary, not on the expressway; the purpose of buying high-powered traction vehicles is to “overload” the idea of ​​making money. The user's various expenses include: fixed expenses and variable expenses. The fixed costs include insurance premiums (traction insurance, commercial insurance, compulsory insurance), transportation management fees, road maintenance fees, vehicle and vessel use taxes, annual inspection fees, etc. The variable costs include: crossing tolls, fuel costs, drivers' wages and subsidies, and maintenance. Fees and so on.

For example: field investigation, taking a 49-ton semi-trailer truck as an example, 30 tons of cargo are loaded on the highway, and the mileage is 1,800 kilometers. The amortization of various costs is about 10,000 yuan. The breakeven freight rate is about RMB 0.19/ton km.

The "traffic" of highways increased, and the "user" income of heavy trucks increased.

According to the analysis of user expense expenditure items, the fixed fee is characterized by “rigidity”. Among the variable expenses, the oil fee and maintenance cost can be reduced by users. Although the increase in freight prices in September is not very high, it also has a greater impact on the revenue of heavy truck users, especially the heavy truck user confidence index will rise. According to calculations, according to the 10,000-kilometer exercise mileage in September, heavy-card users will transport 40 tons of cargo, and the revenue will increase by at least 400 yuan.

With the advent of the freight market peak season, it is expected that the freight index will increase by a larger margin after November.

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